Tichitarisira 2018, isu tinotenda kuti budiriro yemusika wegirazi inogona kuenderera muhafu yekutanga yegore rinouya, uye purofiti yekambani inogona kukwira patsva.Chinhu chikuru chinokanganisa mutengo wezvigadzirwa zvegirazi zvicharamba zviri mhinduro yekugovera uye kudiwa.Kutarisa gore rinouya kunofanirwa kunge kuri kudivi rekupa kupfuura kudiwa.Maererano nemitengo, tinotarisira kuti zvose girazi nzvimbo uye yeramangwana mitengo icharamba ichikwira muhafu yekutanga ye 2018. Muhafu yekutanga yegore, girazi remangwana mitengo inotarisirwa kurova 1700, asi maitiro angave akakwirira uye akaderera. gore rose.

Padivi rekupa, muna Mbudzi, mitsetse mipfumbamwe yekugadzira muHebei yakagamuchira kuvharwa kubva kuhofisi yenzvimbo yekuchengetedza nharaunda.Muna Zvita, mitsetse mitatu yekugadzira yakatarisana nekugadzirisa "marasha kune gasi" uye zvakare yakatarisana nekuvharwa.Huwandu hwekugadzira huwandu hwemitsetse gumi nembiri yekugadzira 47.1 miriyoni inorema mabhokisi pagore, iyo yakaenzana ne5% yehuwandu hwekugadzira nyika isati yavharwa uye yakaenzana ne27% yehuwandu hwekugadzira huwandu mudunhu reShahe.Parizvino, mitsara yekugadzira 9 yakatemerwa kusunungura mvura yekugadzirisa kutonhora.Panguva imwecheteyo, iyi mitsara yekugadzira mitsva mitsva yekugadzira munguva ye 4 trillion yuan muna 2009-12, uye yatove pedyo nenguva yekugadzirisa inotonhora.Kubvisa kubva panguva yechinyakare inotonhora yekugadzirisa yemwedzi mitanhatu, kunyangwe iyo mutemo wakasununguka gore rinouya, nguva yekuti mitsetse 9 yekugadzira itangezve kugadzira ichave mushure meMay.Mitsetse mitatu yekugadzira yasara yakabviswa neEnvironmental Protection Agency.Isu tinotarisira kuti pamberi pekupera kwe2017, uye isati yaitwa zviri pamutemo hurongwa hwemvumo yetsvina, iyi mitsetse mitatu yekugadzira ichaburitswawo kutonhora kwemvura.

Kumiswa kwekugadzirwa uku kwakatanga kuwedzera mutengo wemusika uye chivimbo mumwaka wepamusoro wepasi muna 2017, uye isu tinotenda kuti mhedzisiro yacho ichawedzera kuvirisa kumatura echando mu17-18.Zvinoenderana nedata rekugadzira girazi reNational Bureau of Statistics muna Mbudzi, kubuda kwemwedzi kwakadzikira ne3.5% gore negore.Nekushandiswa kwekuvhara, kuwedzera kwakashata kwekukura kuchaenderera mberi muna 2018. Uye vagadziri vegirazi vanowanzogadzirisa mutengo wekare wefekitari maererano nehuwandu hwavo, uye huwandu hwehuwandu hwehuwandu panguva yekuchengetwa kwechando huri pasi pemakore apfuura, iyo ichawedzera kusimudzira kuda kwevagadziri kutenga mutengo muchirimo che2018.

Panyaya yehutsva hutsva hwekugadzira uye kutangwazve kwehuwandu hwekugadzira, kuchave ne4,000 matani ezuva nezuva kunyunguduka simba rekugadzira muCentral China gore rinouya, uye kune hurongwa hwekuwedzera mitsetse yekugadzira mune mamwe matunhu.Panguva imwecheteyo, nekuda kwehuwandu hwekushanda kwayo, mutengo wesoda ash zvishoma nezvishoma unopinda mukudzika kutenderera, uye purofiti yemabhizinesi ekugadzira magirazi inotarisirwa kuvandudzwa.Izvi zvinononotsa kuda kwemugadziri kugadzirisa kutonhora, uye zvinogona kukwezva humwe hunyanzvi hwekugadzira kuti utangezve kugadzira.Panosvika hafu yechipiri yemwaka wepamusoro, kuwanda kwesimba kunogona kunge kwakakwira zvakanyanya kupfuura chirimo chinotevera.

Panyaya yekuda, iko zvino kudiwa kwegirazi ichiri nguva yekunonoka yeiyo real estate boom cycle.Nekuenderera mberi kweiyo real estate regulation, kudiwa kuchakanganiswa neimwe nzira, uye kupera simba kwekuda kune kumwe kuenderera mberi.Kubva pakudyara kwegore rino real estate development uye data yenzvimbo yakapedzwa, kuderera kwezvivakwa kwakabuda zvishoma nezvishoma.Kunyangwe kana kudiwa kwegore rino kwemamwe mapurojekiti edzimba kwakamiswa nekuda kwekuchengetedzwa kwezvakatipoteredza, kudiwa kuchanonoka, uye chikamu ichi chezvinodiwa chichakurumidza kugaya muchirimo chegore rinouya.Nzvimbo yekuda mukati memwaka wepamusoro inotarisirwa kuve isina simba pane chirimo chinotevera.

Panyaya yekuchengetedzwa kwezvakatipoteredza, tine mafungiro asina kwaakarerekera.Kunyangwe kuvharika kweHebei kwakanyanya uye maitiro ehurumende akaomarara, nzvimbo iyi ine nzvimbo yayo chaiyo.Mamwe matunhu nemapurovhinzi anogona kuita ongororo yekutyora kwezvakatipoteredza uye kugadzirisa zvakashinga zvakadaro?, Nokusava nechokwadi kukuru.Kunyanya munzvimbo dziri kunze kwe2 + 26 maguta makuru, zvirango zvekuchengetedzwa kwezvakatipoteredza zvakaoma kufanotaura.

Muchidimbu, isu tinowanzo tarisiro pamusoro pemutengo wegirazi gore rinouya, asi panguva ino, tinotenda kuti kuwedzera kwemutengo muhafu yekutanga yegore rinouya kune chokwadi, uye mamiriro ari muhafu yechipiri yegore. kusava nechokwadi.Nokudaro, isu tinotarisira kuti muvhareji wekukosha kwegirazi nzvimbo uye yeramangwana mitengo icharamba ichiwedzera muna 2018, asi panogona kunge kune maitiro epamusoro uye pasi.